The Dawn of the Bitcoin Spot ETF: A Landmark Moment with a Gradual Trajectory

The much-anticipated launch of the Bitcoin spot ETF has finally arrived, marking a momentous event in the financial world. The initial trading days witnessed impressive liquidity, with $3.1 billion in trading volumes on the second day, as highlighted by RT Watson. Leading the charge among new spot bitcoin funds issuers, BlackRock and Fidelity recorded significant trading volumes of $564 million and $431 million, respectively, based on Yahoo Finance data compiled by The Block.

This early surge in liquidity is a positive sign for both issuers and market participants. It signals a pivotal evolution in the asset class, drawing attention from and gaining legitimacy among major Wall Street entities.

Enthusiasts of this financial innovation are hopeful that it might mirror the transformative effect of the first gold spot ETF on its market, potentially widening Bitcoin’s investor base and catalyzing a price increase.

However, it’s essential to temper immediate expectations. The impact of the ETF is likely to unfold progressively. In these nascent stages, focusing excessively on flows and volumes might be premature, considering the typically cautious and gradual approach of Wall Street.

The adage “if you build it, they will come” seems apt, but patience is key.

There’s noticeable hesitance among various market players. For instance, Vanguard, the world’s largest retirement plan provider, currently restricts its clients from buying spot Bitcoin ETFs. This caution reflects the broader industry’s wariness. Similarly, institutions like UBS and Citi have limited their bitcoin ETF offerings to select customers, as per CoinDesk reports.

Even for clients of firms like JPMorgan Chase and Fidelity, of which I am one, there are cautionary steps like risk disclosure pop-ups when placing orders. Financial advisors are also encountering barriers. Many have communicated to me their reluctance or outright refusal to incorporate bitcoin ETFs into their offerings. This aligns with data from Bitwise, which revealed less than half of advisors expected an ETF in 2024. When advisors do decide to include these ETFs, they face a lengthy process of revising portfolio strategies and securing managerial approvals, a process that spans months rather than weeks.

This cautious and deliberate approach underscores a fundamental truth: while the Bitcoin spot ETF is a groundbreaking development, its full impact and acceptance will be a gradual and evolving journey.